Coronavirus ‘R’ number for East of England could be falling

PUBLISHED: 13:16 29 May 2020 | UPDATED: 13:52 29 May 2020

Coronavirus testing at Norwich Research Park. Picture: DENISE BRADLEY

Coronavirus testing at Norwich Research Park. Picture: DENISE BRADLEY


Latest figures show the reproduction rate of coronavirus is likely to be falling in the east of England, latest estimates show.

The reproduction rate, known as R, is the average number of people infected by someone with coronavirus.

If the number is below one cases will decline, and if above they will increase.

You may also want to watch:

Nationally, the government says the figure is between 0.7 and 1, but it has not regularly published regional numbers.

But Manchester’s mayor, Andy Burnham, revealed regional R numbers yesterday, showing that the east of England rate was between 0.5 and 0.8 and is likely to be decreasing.

If accurate, that would mean the number of people with coronavirus in the region would halve every 8 days.

However, this latest estimate, from the Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, is from May 18.

Mr Burnham wrote that the R numbers showed there was little room for manoeuvre when it came to easing the lockdown.

If you value what this story gives you, please consider supporting the Eastern Daily Press. Click the link in the orange box above for details.

Become a supporter

This newspaper has been a central part of community life for many years. Our industry faces testing times, which is why we're asking for your support. Every contribution will help us continue to produce local journalism that makes a measurable difference to our community.

Latest from the Eastern Daily Press