Battle lines drawn: Will it be Donald Trump of Hillary Clinton who moves into the White House
PUBLISHED: 14:12 01 November 2016 | UPDATED: 17:03 07 November 2016
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This year’s US election, dubbed the “unpopularity contest”, will come to a conclusion next week. Political editor Annabelle Dickson looks at an extraordinary contest
Follow Annabelle Dickson on the campaign trail
Annabelle Dickson will be travelling to the battleground state of Ohio tomorrow to report on the US election.
The winning candidate in the race needs to secure 270 electoral college votes to secure their place in the White House.
Each state is worth a different number of votes to reflect the population size.
Even if a candidate is ahead in the state by just one vote they get all of the electoral college votes.
While there are 50 states plus the District of Columbia, many states are so heavily Democrat or Republican they are not in play.
Hillary Clinton has an advantage and should expect 222 electoral college votes from the solid states to Donald Trump’s 163. She should also be winning Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin if she is on course to make it into the White House.
Donald Trump should be winning Arizona, Georgia and Iowa.
But in Utah Mormons – who have traditionally voted Republican – are deserting Mr Trump and could support independent candidate Evan McMullin.
But the electoral college rich Florida (29 votes), North Carolina (15 votes) and Ohio (18 votes) will be the most watched states on the night
Follow Annabelle Dickson’s US tour on Twitter and at www.edp24.co.uk. Her handle is @newsannabelle
Who is Hillary Clinton?
The former First Lady and wife of former president Bill Clinton was in charge of US foreign policy as secretary of state for four years
as part of Barack Obama’s administration. She had unsuccessfully stood to be the Democrat candidate in 2009 against President Obama, but saw off Bernie Sanders to be the Democrat candidate in 2016.
Why has her campaign not been plain sailing?
She has been plagued by an email scandal. Essentially Mrs Clinton used a private server to send state emails – a move which prompted an FBI investigation. The FBI cleared her of any criminal wrongdoing in July, but censured her at the time for being “extremely careless”. It appeared to be the end of the matter as far as officials were concerned until last Friday when the director of the FBI sent a letter to leaders in Congress announcing there would be a fresh inquiry into her use of a private email server while she was secretary of state.
What is Mrs Clinton’s attitude to Europe?
As secretary of state she already knows many European leaders after more than 50 visits to European countries while in post. Mrs Clinton wants the US to work more closely with Europe on intelligence sharing and counter-terrorism. But she has said that European leaders need to do more
to monitor the flow of foreign
fighters back to Europe from Iraq and Syria.
And what about the UK?
She strongly hinted ahead of the EU referendum that she supported remain. A former policy advisor Jake Sullivan said Mrs Clinton had always valued a strong United Kingdom in a strong European Union and that she valued a strong British voice in the European Union. She hit back at leading Brexit campaigner Nigel Farage after he claimed he would not vote for Hillary Clinton if she paid him (if he had a vote), accusing him of stoking anti-immigrant sentiments “to win the referendum, to have Britain leave the European Union”.
What are her odds of winning?
Paddy Power was yesterday offering odds of 1/3 on a Clinton victory.
Who is Donald Trump?
One of the world’s most famous businessmen with a casino, hotel and worldwide property empire estimated to be worth more than £3bn.
The New Yorker featured on
the US reality show The Apprentice and has written 16 books to help people learn how to think like a billionaire.
What controversies has Mr Trump courted?
The Republican candidate says he wants to ban Muslims from coming into the US and build a wall between America and Mexico to keep out illegal immigrants.
He begun to trail in the polls after a recording last month - dubbed the Trump Tapes – revealed he had bragged about kissing, groping and trying to have sex with women, suggesting that “when you’re a star, they let you do it”.
He dismissed the recordings as locker room banter.
Mr Trump has also been rocked by the revelations that he may have escaped paying income tax for nearly two decades.
Has this affected his poll ratings?
Yes. Mrs Clinton pulled away
after the early October scandals,
with some polls putting her 12
points ahead. The lead appears to have narrowed again in recent days.
What is his attitude to Europe?
In an interview in March following the Belgian terrorist attack, Mr Trump said: “I said Brussels is a hellhole, and then all of a sudden it came out the attack took place in Brussels. I understand what’s going on around the world far better than these politicians do.”
And the UK?
Mr Trump celebrated Britain’s decision to leave the European Union, tweeting “They took their country back, just like we will take America back” on the day of the result.
And his odds?
Paddy Power offered 5/2 on Trump yesterday.